
Trade on real-world events
The first federally regulated prediction market exchange for trading event contracts on real-world outcomes.
Kalshi is the first and only CFTC-regulated exchange that allows individuals to trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Founded in 2018 by MIT classmates Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara โ both former quantitative traders โ the platform lets users buy and sell event contracts across categories including politics, economics, weather, and culture. Kalshi secured its landmark CFTC designation as a Designated Contract Market (DCM) in 2020, launching publicly in July 2021. The company exploded in popularity during the 2024 US presidential election, and by late 2025 had raised $1.6B in total funding at an $11B valuation. Weekly trading volume now exceeds $1B, making Kalshi one of the fastest-growing fintech platforms in the US. The company went through Y Combinator's Winter 2019 batch.
Kalshi was a standout pick โ two MIT quant traders from Algeria and Brazil building the first federally regulated prediction market in the US. When we featured them at Series A, the idea of ordinary Americans trading on real-world events felt novel. Three years later, Kalshi hit an $11B valuation and became a cultural phenomenon during the 2024 election, proving that regulated prediction markets are here to stay.
Discovery signal: CFTC-regulated moat in an emerging market, YC-backed with elite quant founder backgrounds, early-mover advantage in US-legal prediction markets.
Kalshi is the only CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in the US, giving it a unique legal moat. While competitors like Polymarket operate offshore or in regulatory gray areas, Kalshi offers a fully compliant venue for Americans to trade event contracts with real money.
$11B
Valuation
$1.6B
Total Raised
$1B+
Weekly Trading Volume
~100
Team Size
Co-Founder & CEO
Algerian-born MIT graduate. Previously a quantitative trader at Goldman Sachs (structured credit and equities) and Citadel (global macro). Co-founded Kalshi after meeting Luana at MIT.
Co-Founder & COO
Brazilian-born MIT MEng in Computer Science. Former professional ballerina. Previously a quantitative trader at Citadel Securities and Five Rings Capital, and researcher at MIT's Brain and Cognitive Sciences Center. World's youngest self-made female billionaire (2025).
Kalshi is hiring!
Team size: ~100
Lead: Y Combinator
Lead: Sequoia Capital
Lead: Sequoia Capital
Valuation: $2B
Lead: Paradigm
Valuation: $5B
Lead: Andreessen Horowitz & Sequoia Capital
Valuation: $11B
Lead: Paradigm
Co-Founder, KKR
Founder, Charles Schwab Corp
Kalshi Secures $1B To Expand Predictions Market Platform
Kalshi Reaches $11 Billion Valuation as App Takes over America
Kalshi hits $5 billion valuation amid international expansion
Kalshi Raises $1 Billion to Expand Prediction Market Platform